Bodo-Glimt vs Fredrikstad: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bodo-Glimtvs
FredrikstadThe model puts Bodo-Glimt at 83%. The model leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bodo-Glimt.
- +The head-to-head record favours Bodo-Glimt (5-1-0).
- −Bodo-Glimt are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Fredrikstad are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bodo-Glimt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fredrikstad have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bodo-Glimt have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bodo-Glimt will be without Bjortuft, Mikkelsen, Riisnaes.
- Fredrikstad will be without Sorlokk, Kvile S..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 1 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 2 | 19 | 6 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 5 | ||||
| 4 | 9 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bodo-Glimt at 83%. The model puts the draw at 10%. The model puts Fredrikstad at 7%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Bodo-Glimt. Bodo-Glimt is priced at 1.14. The draw is priced at 8.8. Fredrikstad is priced at 15.
Bodo-Glimt have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bodo-Glimt have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Bodo-Glimt are on 3 wins in a row. Fredrikstad have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 23% for both teams to score. The model gives 51% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bodo-Glimt or Fredrikstad?
Our model rates Bodo-Glimt as the most likely outcome at 83% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bodo-Glimt vs Fredrikstad?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 5 Bodo-Glimt wins, 1 draws, 0 Fredrikstad wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 2 |  Viking | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:11 | 27 |
| 3 | Bodo-Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30:11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 6 |  HamKam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 8 |  Brann | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 9 |  Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:22 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valerenga | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 12 |  Aalesunds | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 13 |  Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 14 |  KFUM-Kameratene | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:30 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.