Lillestrom vs KFUM-Kameratene: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Lillestromvs
KFUM-KamerateneThe model puts Lillestrom at 59%. The model leans toward Lillestrom. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lillestrom.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lillestrom (4-0-2).
- −Lillestrom are dealing with notable absentees.
- +KFUM-Kameratene are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Lillestrom have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- KFUM-Kameratene have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lillestrom have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lillestrom will be without Kitolano E., Ranger.
- KFUM-Kameratene will be without Aleesami, Berglie F., Nije M., Vinjor, Eikrem.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lillestrom at 59%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts KFUM-Kameratene at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Lillestrom. Lillestrom is priced at 1.696. The draw is priced at 3.94. KFUM-Kameratene is priced at 4.78.
Lillestrom have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. KFUM-Kameratene have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Lillestrom have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Lillestrom are on 2 wins in a row. KFUM-Kameratene have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lillestrom or KFUM-Kameratene?
Our model rates Lillestrom as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lillestrom vs KFUM-Kameratene?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Lillestrom wins, 0 draws, 2 KFUM-Kameratene wins.
League table
Norway. Eliteserien| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tromso | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 2 |  Viking | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 29:11 | 27 |
| 3 |  Bodo-Glimt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 30:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Molde | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 6 |  HamKam | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:16 | 17 |
| 8 |  Brann | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 26:21 | 16 |
| 9 |  Sandefjord | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 10 |  Fredrikstad | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:22 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valerenga | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 13:21 | 14 |
| 12 |  Aalesunds | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 13 |  Rosenborg | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 14 | KFUM-Kameratene | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11:21 | 11 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:30 | 7 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.