Forfar Athletic vs Partick Thistle: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Forfar Athleticvs
Partick ThistleThe model puts Partick Thistle at 77%. The model leans toward Partick Thistle. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Partick Thistle.
- +The head-to-head record favours Partick Thistle (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Forfar Athletic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partick Thistle have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partick Thistle is priced at 1.191.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 3 |
| 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Forfar Athletic at 8%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Partick Thistle at 77%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.
The market leans toward Partick Thistle. Forfar Athletic is priced at 12.5. The draw is priced at 5.55. Partick Thistle is priced at 1.191.
Partick Thistle have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Forfar Athletic have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Partick Thistle have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Forfar Athletic or Partick Thistle?
Our model rates Partick Thistle as the most likely outcome at 77% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Forfar Athletic vs Partick Thistle?
A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Forfar Athletic wins, 1 draws, 5 Partick Thistle wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 |  Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.