Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Kelty Heartsvs
Queen's ParkThe model puts Queen's Park at 55%. The model leans toward Queen's Park. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kelty Hearts.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Kelty Hearts have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queen's Park have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kelty Hearts have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Queen's Park is priced at 1.686.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Kelty Hearts at 21%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Queen's Park at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Queen's Park. Kelty Hearts is priced at 4.37. The draw is priced at 3.6. Queen's Park is priced at 1.686.
Kelty Hearts have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Kelty Hearts have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Queen's Park have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Queen's Park are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Kelty Hearts or Queen's Park?
Our model rates Queen's Park as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Kelty Hearts vs Queen's Park?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Kelty Hearts wins, 0 draws, 0 Queen's Park wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Queen's Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Kelty Hearts | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 |  Queen of the South | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 |  Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Brora Rangers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.