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Scotland. League Cup

Linlithgow Rose vs St. Johnstone: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Linlithgow Rose Linlithgow RosevsSt. Johnstone St. Johnstone
Our predictionSt. Johnstone to win
Model score: Medium · 50/100
Score hint: 0-2

The model puts St. Johnstone at 81%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Linlithgow RoseDraw2 · St. Johnstone
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.88+23.9%
1X2Linlithgow Rose13.20+0.8%
1X2Draw7.80-0.1%
1X2St. Johnstone1.10-0.7%
BTTSYes1.81-23.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Linlithgow Rose
35
St. Johnstone
79

Most likely scorelines

0-218.7%
0-117.5%
0-313.3%
0-08.2%
0-47.1%
1-26.8%

Expected goals

0.37Linlithgow Rose
xG
2.14St. Johnstone
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams to score27%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Linlithgow Rose St. Johnstone

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2St. Johnstone win1.10Fair (-0.7%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0817191373
1367531
211
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Linlithgow Rose at 8%. The model puts the draw at 11%. The model puts St. Johnstone at 81%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward St. Johnstone. Linlithgow Rose is priced at 13.2. The draw is priced at 7.8. St. Johnstone is priced at 1.103.

The model gives 27% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Linlithgow Rose or St. Johnstone?

Our model rates St. Johnstone as the most likely outcome at 81% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Linlithgow Rose vs St. Johnstone?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

14.9111.447.984.511.04
Home 13.20 Draw 7.80 Away 1.10

League table

Scotland. League Cup
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Queen's Park11003:13
2Kelty Hearts11001:12
3Queen of the South10101:11
4Aberdeen00000:00
5Brora Rangers10101:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play-off: Round of 16) Ranking of second-placed teams

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.