← All predictions
Scotland. League Cup

Spartans vs Stirling Albion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Spartans SpartansvsStirling Albion Stirling Albion
Our predictionSpartans to win
Model score: Low · 32/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Spartans at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · SpartansDraw2 · Stirling Albion
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.19+6.1%
1X2Draw3.38+0.6%
1X2Spartans2.13+0.0%
1X2Stirling Albion3.00-0.6%
BTTSYes1.59-6.1%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

SpartansWLDDD
Stirling AlbionWDLDD
Team strength rating
Spartans
55
Stirling Albion
51

Most likely scorelines

1-112.1%
1-011.3%
2-19.3%
2-08.7%
0-17.8%
0-07.3%

Expected goals

1.54Spartans
xG
1.07Stirling Albion
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Spartans Stirling Albion

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Spartans win2.13Fair
Double chanceSpartans or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07842
1111272
29952
3453
422
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Spartans at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Stirling Albion at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Spartans. Spartans is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.38. Stirling Albion is priced at 2.997.

Spartans have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Stirling Albion have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Spartans have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Stirling Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Spartans or Stirling Albion?

Our model rates Spartans as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Spartans vs Stirling Albion?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartans wins, 3 draws, 2 Stirling Albion wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.573.162.752.341.93
Home 2.13 Draw 3.38 Away 3.00

League table

Scotland. League Cup
#TeamGPWLTGPts
1Queen's Park11003:13
2Kelty Hearts11001:12
3Queen of the South10101:11
4Aberdeen00000:00
5Brora Rangers10101:30
Promotion - League Cup (Play-off: Round of 16) Ranking of second-placed teams

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.