Spartans vs Stirling Albion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Spartans at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Spartans have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stirling Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Spartans have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Spartans is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Spartans at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Stirling Albion at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Spartans. Spartans is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 3.38. Stirling Albion is priced at 2.997.
Spartans have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Stirling Albion have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Spartans have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Stirling Albion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Spartans or Stirling Albion?
Our model rates Spartans as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Spartans vs Stirling Albion?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Spartans wins, 3 draws, 2 Stirling Albion wins.
Odds movement
League table
Scotland. League Cup| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.