Baalor Sarr vs Elite United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Elite United at 34%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Baalor Sarr have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Elite United is priced at 2.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Baalor Sarr at 34%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Elite United at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Baalor Sarr is priced at 2.67. The draw is priced at 2.83. Elite United is priced at 2.6.
Baalor Sarr have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Baalor Sarr are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Baalor Sarr or Elite United?
Our model rates Elite United as the most likely outcome at 34% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Baalor Sarr vs Elite United?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.