← All predictions
Gambian Championship. 2nd Division

Baalor Sarr vs Elite United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Baalor Sarr Baalor SarrvsElite United Elite United
Our predictionElite United to win
Model score: Low · 0/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Elite United at 34%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Baalor SarrDraw2 · Elite United
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes2.09+2.7%
1X2Baalor Sarr2.67+0.6%
1X2Draw2.83-0.3%
1X2Elite United2.60-0.3%
BTTSNo1.63-2.7%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.21Baalor Sarr
xG
1.09Elite United
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams to score47%

Most likely scorelines

1-113.2%
1-012.1%
0-111.0%
0-010.0%
2-18.0%
2-07.3%
Team strength rating
Baalor Sarr
62
Elite United
51

Recent form

Baalor SarrWWD
Elite United

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Baalor Sarr Elite United

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Elite United win2.60Fair
Double chanceElite United or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0101162
1121373
27842
3332
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Baalor Sarr at 34%. The model puts the draw at 31%. The model puts Elite United at 34%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Baalor Sarr is priced at 2.67. The draw is priced at 2.83. Elite United is priced at 2.6.

Baalor Sarr have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Baalor Sarr are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 40% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Baalor Sarr or Elite United?

Our model rates Elite United as the most likely outcome at 34% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Baalor Sarr vs Elite United?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Odds movement

3.042.892.742.592.44
Home 2.67 Draw 2.83 Away 2.60

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.