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Argentina. Copa Santa Fe

Sportivo Las Parejas vs CA Timbuense: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sportivo Las Parejas Sportivo Las ParejasvsCA Timbuense CA Timbuense
Our predictionSportivo Las Parejas to win
Model score: High · 62/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sportivo Las Parejas at 59%. The model leans toward Sportivo Las Parejas. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Sportivo Las ParejasDraw2 · CA Timbuense
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.51+15.3%
1X2Sportivo Las Parejas1.55+0.4%
1X2CA Timbuense6.16-0.1%
1X2Draw3.40-0.2%
BTTSYes2.34-15.3%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.20Sportivo Las Parejas
xG
0.42CA Timbuense
Over 2.5 goals22%
Both teams to score24%
Team strength rating
Sportivo Las Parejas
67
CA Timbuense
39

Most likely scorelines

1-023.8%
0-019.8%
2-014.3%
1-110.0%
0-18.3%
2-16.0%

Recent form

Sportivo Las ParejasDDDDW
CA Timbuense

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sportivo Las Parejas CA Timbuense

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sportivo Las Parejas win1.55Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
02082
124102
21461
362
42
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sportivo Las Parejas at 59%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts CA Timbuense at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Sportivo Las Parejas. Sportivo Las Parejas is priced at 1.55. The draw is priced at 3.4. CA Timbuense is priced at 6.16.

Sportivo Las Parejas have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 22% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sportivo Las Parejas or CA Timbuense?

Our model rates Sportivo Las Parejas as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sportivo Las Parejas vs CA Timbuense?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.