Fulham United vs Cumberland United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Fulham Unitedvs
Cumberland UnitedThe model puts Fulham United at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Fulham United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cumberland United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fulham United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Fulham United is priced at 2.05.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Fulham United at 44%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Cumberland United at 30%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Fulham United. Fulham United is priced at 2.05. The draw is priced at 3.6. Cumberland United is priced at 2.978.
Fulham United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Cumberland United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Fulham United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Fulham United are on 2 wins in a row. Cumberland United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cumberland United are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Fulham United or Cumberland United?
Our model rates Fulham United as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Fulham United vs Cumberland United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Fulham United wins, 1 draws, 2 Cumberland United wins.
League table
Australia. South Australia. State League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Adelaide Raiders | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 46:23 | 34 |
| 2 | Fulham United | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 37:24 | 33 |
| 3 |  Adelaide Olympic | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:23 | 31 |
| 4 |  Adelaide Atletico | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:24 | 30 |
| 5 |  Adelaide Blue Eagles | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 31:25 | 30 |
| 6 |  Modbury Jets | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:16 | 29 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 29:23 | 25 |
| 8 |  The Cove | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 9 |  Eastern United | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:33 | 16 |
| 10 |  Adelaide Cobras | 17 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 21:37 | 16 |
| 11 |  Salisbury United | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 19:39 | 11 |
| 12 |  South Adelaide Panthers | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 17:47 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.