The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The Strongestvs
Oriente PetroleroThe model puts The Strongest at 76%. The model leans toward The Strongest. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours The Strongest.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- The Strongest have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oriente Petrolero have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- The Strongest have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The Strongest is priced at 1.207.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 8 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts The Strongest at 76%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Oriente Petrolero at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward The Strongest. The Strongest is priced at 1.207. The draw is priced at 6.1. Oriente Petrolero is priced at 9.3.
The Strongest have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Oriente Petrolero have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
The Strongest have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Oriente Petrolero have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, The Strongest or Oriente Petrolero?
Our model rates The Strongest as the most likely outcome at 76% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for The Strongest vs Oriente Petrolero?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 The Strongest wins, 1 draws, 2 Oriente Petrolero wins.
League table
Bolivia. Primera Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Always Ready | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Club Aurora | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Bolivar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:10 | 15 |
| 5 |  Club Blooming | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 6 |  Nacional Potosi | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 7 |  Independiente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 8 |  Real Oruro | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:22 | 11 |
| 9 |  Guabira | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 10 |  Club Bamin Real Potosi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Universitario de Vinto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 12 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 13 |  ABB | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 14 |  Real Tomayapo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 15 |  San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 |  Gualberto Villarroel | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:17 | 6 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.