GBK Kokkola vs Narpes Kraft: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
GBK Kokkolavs
Narpes KraftThe model puts GBK Kokkola at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Narpes Kraft.
- −The head-to-head record favours Narpes Kraft (1-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- GBK Kokkola have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Narpes Kraft have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- GBK Kokkola have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- GBK Kokkola is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts GBK Kokkola at 40%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Narpes Kraft at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. GBK Kokkola is priced at 2.13. The draw is priced at 4.15. Narpes Kraft is priced at 2.51.
GBK Kokkola have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Narpes Kraft have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
GBK Kokkola have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Narpes Kraft have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 65% for both teams to score. The model gives 64% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, GBK Kokkola or Narpes Kraft?
Our model rates GBK Kokkola as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for GBK Kokkola vs Narpes Kraft?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 GBK Kokkola wins, 1 draws, 4 Narpes Kraft wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Finland. Kakkonen. Division 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GBK Kokkola | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 27:23 | 21 |
| 2 |  FF Jaro II | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 26:36 | 21 |
| 3 | Narpes Kraft | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 39:27 | 19 |
| 4 | Urho/Huima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 29:23 | 18 |
| 5 |  TP-47 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | 17 |
| 6 |  SJK Akatemia II | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 7 |  VPS Akatemia | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 30:24 | 16 |
| 8 |  JBK Pietarsaari | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:18 | 16 |
| 9 |  Vaajakoski | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 25:30 | 14 |
| 10 |  Hercules Oulu | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:30 | 11 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.