Busan Transportation Corporation vs Suwon Samsung Bluewings: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Busan Transportation Corporationvs
Suwon Samsung BluewingsThe model puts Suwon Samsung Bluewings at 50%. The model leans toward Suwon Samsung Bluewings. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Busan Transportation Corporation.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Busan Transportation Corporation have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Suwon Samsung Bluewings have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Suwon Samsung Bluewings is priced at 1.73.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Busan Transportation Corporation at 28%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Suwon Samsung Bluewings at 50%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Suwon Samsung Bluewings. Busan Transportation Corporation is priced at 3.755. The draw is priced at 3.92. Suwon Samsung Bluewings is priced at 1.73.
Busan Transportation Corporation have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Busan Transportation Corporation are on 2 wins in a row. Suwon Samsung Bluewings have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Busan Transportation Corporation or Suwon Samsung Bluewings?
Our model rates Suwon Samsung Bluewings as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Busan Transportation Corporation vs Suwon Samsung Bluewings?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.