Busan IPark vs Geoje: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Busan IParkvs
GeojeThe model puts Busan IPark at 82%. The model leans toward Busan IPark. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Busan IPark have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Geoje have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Busan IPark is priced at 1.106.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 1 | 9 | 4 | ||||
| 2 | 14 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 15 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 12 | 5 | ||||
| 5 | 7 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Busan IPark at 82%. The model puts the draw at 12%. The model puts Geoje at 6%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Busan IPark. Busan IPark is priced at 1.106. The draw is priced at 7.3. Geoje is priced at 14.5.
Busan IPark have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Geoje have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Geoje are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 69% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Busan IPark or Geoje?
Our model rates Busan IPark as the most likely outcome at 82% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Busan IPark vs Geoje?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.