Suwon vs Pyeongchang United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Suwonvs
Pyeongchang UnitedThe model puts Suwon at 88%. The model leans toward Suwon. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Suwon.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Suwon have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Pyeongchang United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Suwon is priced at 1.036.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | |||||
| 1 | 7 | 2 | ||||
| 2 | 13 | 4 | ||||
| 3 | 16 | 4 | ||||
| 4 | 14 | 4 | ||||
| 5 | 10 | 3 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Suwon at 88%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Pyeongchang United at 3%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-0.
The market leans toward Suwon. Suwon is priced at 1.036. The draw is priced at 9.4. Pyeongchang United is priced at 26.
Suwon have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Suwon are on 2 wins in a row. Pyeongchang United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 74% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Suwon or Pyeongchang United?
Our model rates Suwon as the most likely outcome at 88% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Suwon vs Pyeongchang United?
A scoreline around 3-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.