Seongnam vs Pocheon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Seongnamvs
PocheonThe model puts Seongnam at 55%. The model leans toward Seongnam. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Seongnam.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Seongnam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pocheon have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seongnam is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Seongnam at 55%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Pocheon at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Seongnam. Seongnam is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.48. Pocheon is priced at 4.325.
Pocheon have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Seongnam have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Pocheon have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Seongnam or Pocheon?
Our model rates Seongnam as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Seongnam vs Pocheon?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Seongnam wins, 0 draws, 1 Pocheon wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.