Ulsan Citizen vs Seoul E-Land: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ulsan Citizenvs
Seoul E-LandThe model puts Seoul E-Land at 56%. The model leans toward Seoul E-Land. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ulsan Citizen have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Seoul E-Land is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ulsan Citizen at 19%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Seoul E-Land at 56%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Seoul E-Land. Ulsan Citizen is priced at 5.12. The draw is priced at 3.54. Seoul E-Land is priced at 1.61.
Ulsan Citizen have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Ulsan Citizen are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ulsan Citizen or Seoul E-Land?
Our model rates Seoul E-Land as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ulsan Citizen vs Seoul E-Land?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.