Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Forward Madisonvs
Richmond KickersThe model puts Forward Madison at 67%. The model leans toward Forward Madison. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Forward Madison.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Forward Madison have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Richmond Kickers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Forward Madison have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Forward Madison is priced at 1.38.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Forward Madison at 67%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Richmond Kickers at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Forward Madison. Forward Madison is priced at 1.38. The draw is priced at 4.33. Richmond Kickers is priced at 6.83.
Forward Madison have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Richmond Kickers have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Forward Madison have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Richmond Kickers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Forward Madison or Richmond Kickers?
Our model rates Forward Madison as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Forward Madison wins, 1 draws, 3 Richmond Kickers wins.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 30 |
| 3 |  One Knoxville | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26:12 | 30 |
| 4 |  AV Alta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:18 | 25 |
| 5 |  Athletic Boise | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 10 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 13 |  Naples | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:21 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 17:33 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.