Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
AV AltaThe model puts Chattanooga Red Wolves at 60%. The model leans toward Chattanooga Red Wolves. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Chattanooga Red Wolves.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chattanooga Red Wolves (1-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chattanooga Red Wolves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- AV Alta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chattanooga Red Wolves is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Chattanooga Red Wolves at 60%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts AV Alta at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Chattanooga Red Wolves. Chattanooga Red Wolves is priced at 1.57. The draw is priced at 3.84. AV Alta is priced at 4.92.
Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chattanooga Red Wolves have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. AV Alta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chattanooga Red Wolves or AV Alta?
Our model rates Chattanooga Red Wolves as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves wins, 2 draws, 0 AV Alta wins.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 30 |
| 3 |  One Knoxville | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26:12 | 30 |
| 4 | AV Alta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:18 | 25 |
| 5 |  Athletic Boise | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 7 |  Forward Madison | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 13 |  Naples | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:21 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 17:33 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.