One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
One Knoxvillevs
Fort WayneThe model puts One Knoxville at 54%. The model leans toward One Knoxville. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours One Knoxville.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- One Knoxville have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fort Wayne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- One Knoxville is priced at 1.74.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts One Knoxville at 54%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Fort Wayne at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward One Knoxville. One Knoxville is priced at 1.74. The draw is priced at 3.56. Fort Wayne is priced at 4.055.
One Knoxville have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Fort Wayne have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 57% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, One Knoxville or Fort Wayne?
Our model rates One Knoxville as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for One Knoxville vs Fort Wayne?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
USA. USL League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Union Omaha | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 2 |  Charlotte Independence | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 30 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 26:12 | 30 |
| 4 |  AV Alta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23:18 | 25 |
| 5 |  Athletic Boise | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23:23 | 24 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:12 | 24 |
| 7 |  Forward Madison | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 17:21 | 23 |
| 9 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:24 | 20 |
| 10 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:15 | 19 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 13 |  Naples | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 23:23 | 14 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:21 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 17:33 | 10 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.