Yongin City vs Dangjin Citizen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yongin Cityvs
Dangjin CitizenThe model puts Yongin City at 55%. The model leans toward Yongin City. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Yongin City have 1 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Dangjin Citizen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yongin City is priced at 1.67.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Yongin City at 55%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Dangjin Citizen at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Yongin City. Yongin City is priced at 1.67. The draw is priced at 3.55. Dangjin Citizen is priced at 4.575.
Yongin City have 1 wins in their last 4 matches. Dangjin Citizen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 59% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yongin City or Dangjin Citizen?
Our model rates Yongin City as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yongin City vs Dangjin Citizen?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.