Daegu vs Siheung Citizen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Daeguvs
Siheung CitizenThe model puts Daegu at 57%. The model leans toward Daegu. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Daegu.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Daegu have 2 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Siheung Citizen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Daegu is priced at 1.66.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Daegu at 57%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Siheung Citizen at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Daegu. Daegu is priced at 1.66. The draw is priced at 3.56. Siheung Citizen is priced at 4.625.
Daegu have 2 wins in their last 3 matches. Daegu are on 2 wins in a row. Siheung Citizen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 58% for both teams to score. The model gives 67% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Daegu or Siheung Citizen?
Our model rates Daegu as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Daegu vs Siheung Citizen?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.