Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hwaseongvs
YangpyeongThe model puts Hwaseong at 63%. The model leans toward Hwaseong. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Hwaseong.
- +The head-to-head record favours Hwaseong (4-0-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hwaseong have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Yangpyeong have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hwaseong have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hwaseong is priced at 1.41.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hwaseong at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Yangpyeong at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Hwaseong. Hwaseong is priced at 1.41. The draw is priced at 4. Yangpyeong is priced at 7.13.
Hwaseong have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Yangpyeong have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Hwaseong have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Yangpyeong have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Yangpyeong are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hwaseong or Yangpyeong?
Our model rates Hwaseong as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hwaseong vs Yangpyeong?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 5 meetings: 4 Hwaseong wins, 0 draws, 1 Yangpyeong wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.