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South Korea Cup

Ansan Greeners vs Jinju Citizen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Ansan Greeners Ansan GreenersvsJinju Citizen Jinju Citizen
Our predictionAnsan Greeners to win
Model score: High · 64/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Ansan Greeners at 57%. The model leans toward Ansan Greeners. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Ansan GreenersDraw2 · Jinju Citizen
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.23+20.6%
1X2Ansan Greeners1.61+0.4%
1X2Jinju Citizen4.39-0.2%
1X2Draw4.00-0.2%
BTTSYes1.57-20.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.56Ansan Greeners
xG
0.66Jinju Citizen
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score38%
Team strength rating
Ansan Greeners
64
Jinju Citizen
57

Most likely scorelines

1-017.0%
2-013.2%
1-111.2%
0-010.9%
2-18.7%
0-17.2%

Recent form

Ansan Greeners
Jinju CitizenWWWW

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Ansan Greeners Jinju Citizen

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Ansan Greeners win1.61Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01172
117114
21393
3751
432
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Ansan Greeners at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Jinju Citizen at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Ansan Greeners. Ansan Greeners is priced at 1.61. The draw is priced at 4. Jinju Citizen is priced at 4.39.

Jinju Citizen have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Jinju Citizen are on 4 wins in a row.

The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Ansan Greeners or Jinju Citizen?

Our model rates Ansan Greeners as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Ansan Greeners vs Jinju Citizen?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.