Ansan Greeners vs Jinju Citizen: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Ansan Greeners at 57%. The model leans toward Ansan Greeners. Confidence: high.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Jinju Citizen have 4 wins in their last 4 matches.
- Ansan Greeners is priced at 1.61.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 17 | 11 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ansan Greeners at 57%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Jinju Citizen at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Ansan Greeners. Ansan Greeners is priced at 1.61. The draw is priced at 4. Jinju Citizen is priced at 4.39.
Jinju Citizen have 4 wins in their last 4 matches. Jinju Citizen are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ansan Greeners or Jinju Citizen?
Our model rates Ansan Greeners as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ansan Greeners vs Jinju Citizen?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.