Paju Frontier vs Gangneung City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Paju Frontiervs
Gangneung CityThe model puts Paju Frontier at 57%. The model leans toward Paju Frontier. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Paju Frontier (4-2-0).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Paju Frontier have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gangneung City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Paju Frontier have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Paju Frontier is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Paju Frontier at 57%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Gangneung City at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Paju Frontier. Paju Frontier is priced at 1.63. The draw is priced at 3.54. Gangneung City is priced at 4.925.
Paju Frontier have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Paju Frontier have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Gangneung City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Paju Frontier or Gangneung City?
Our model rates Paju Frontier as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Paju Frontier vs Gangneung City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Paju Frontier wins, 2 draws, 0 Gangneung City wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.