Cheonan City vs Mokpo City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Cheonan Cityvs
Mokpo CityThe model puts Cheonan City at 67%. The model leans toward Cheonan City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Mokpo City.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Cheonan City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Mokpo City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cheonan City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Cheonan City is priced at 1.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Cheonan City at 67%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Mokpo City at 13%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Cheonan City. Cheonan City is priced at 1.29. The draw is priced at 4.55. Mokpo City is priced at 9.5.
Cheonan City have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Mokpo City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Cheonan City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Mokpo City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Mokpo City are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 38% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Cheonan City or Mokpo City?
Our model rates Cheonan City as the most likely outcome at 67% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Cheonan City vs Mokpo City?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Cheonan City wins, 3 draws, 2 Mokpo City wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.