Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju KHNP: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Chungbuk Cheongjuvs
Gyeongju KHNPThe model puts Chungbuk Cheongju at 58%. The model leans toward Chungbuk Cheongju. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Chungbuk Cheongju.
- +The head-to-head record favours Chungbuk Cheongju (3-2-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Chungbuk Cheongju have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gyeongju KHNP have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Chungbuk Cheongju have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Chungbuk Cheongju is priced at 1.65.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Chungbuk Cheongju at 58%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Gyeongju KHNP at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Chungbuk Cheongju. Chungbuk Cheongju is priced at 1.65. The draw is priced at 3.54. Gyeongju KHNP is priced at 4.73.
Chungbuk Cheongju have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Gyeongju KHNP have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Chungbuk Cheongju have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Chungbuk Cheongju are on 3 wins in a row. Gyeongju KHNP have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Chungbuk Cheongju or Gyeongju KHNP?
Our model rates Chungbuk Cheongju as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Chungbuk Cheongju vs Gyeongju KHNP?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 3 Chungbuk Cheongju wins, 2 draws, 1 Gyeongju KHNP wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.