Yeoju vs Gyeongnam: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Yeojuvs
GyeongnamThe model puts Gyeongnam at 62%. The model leans toward Gyeongnam. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Gyeongnam.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Yeoju have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gyeongnam have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Gyeongnam is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Yeoju at 14%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Gyeongnam at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Gyeongnam. Yeoju is priced at 6.51. The draw is priced at 3.7. Gyeongnam is priced at 1.48.
Yeoju have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gyeongnam have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Yeoju or Gyeongnam?
Our model rates Gyeongnam as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Yeoju vs Gyeongnam?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.