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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

SJK-j SJK-jvsKPV Akatemia KPV Akatemia
Our predictionSJK-j to win
Model score: High · 60/100
Score hint: 2-1

The model puts SJK-j at 60%. The model leans toward SJK-j. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · SJK-jDraw2 · KPV Akatemia
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo3.44+12.3%
O/U 2.5Under 2.54.20+6.1%
1X2KPV Akatemia4.70+2.4%
1X2Draw4.80-0.8%
1X2SJK-j1.47-1.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

2.65SJK-j
xG
1.07KPV Akatemia
Over 2.5 goals72%
Both teams to score61%
Team strength rating
SJK-j
56
KPV Akatemia
38

Most likely scorelines

2-19.1%
2-08.5%
3-18.0%
3-07.5%
1-16.9%
1-06.4%

Recent form

SJK-jLLDDL
KPV AkatemiaLWLWL

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
SJK-j KPV Akatemia

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2SJK-j win1.47Fair (-1.6%)
Total goalsOver 2.51.19Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0231
16741
29952
38842
45531
5332

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts SJK-j at 60%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts KPV Akatemia at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.

The market leans toward SJK-j. SJK-j is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4.8. KPV Akatemia is priced at 4.695.

SJK-j have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. KPV Akatemia have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 61% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, SJK-j or KPV Akatemia?

Our model rates SJK-j as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for SJK-j vs KPV Akatemia?

A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.