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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

SIF vs Larsmo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

SIF SIFvsLarsmo Larsmo
Our predictionSIF to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts SIF at 87%. The model leans toward SIF. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Win probabilities

1 · SIFDraw2 · Larsmo
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.84+28.8%
O/U 2.5Under 2.54.60+17.3%
1X2SIF1.04+0.7%
1X2Larsmo20.00-0.2%
1X2Draw9.80-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
SIF
90
Larsmo
27

Expected goals

2.97SIF
xG
0.25Larsmo
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams to score21%

Recent form

SIFWWDDL
LarsmoLWDLL

Most likely scorelines

2-017.5%
3-017.4%
4-012.9%
1-011.8%
5-07.7%
2-14.5%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
SIF Larsmo

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2SIF win1.04Fair (+0.7%)
Total goalsOver/Under 2.5 (lean none)4.60Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
041
1123
2184
3174
4133
582

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts SIF at 87%. The model puts the draw at 9%. The model puts Larsmo at 4%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward SIF. SIF is priced at 1.039. The draw is priced at 9.8. Larsmo is priced at 20.

SIF have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. SIF are on 2 wins in a row. Larsmo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 21% for both teams to score. The model gives 63% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, SIF or Larsmo?

Our model rates SIF as the most likely outcome at 87% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for SIF vs Larsmo?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.