Nykarleby IK vs Kiisto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nykarleby IKvs
KiistoThe model puts Kiisto at 78%. The model leans toward Kiisto. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Kiisto.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Nykarleby IK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kiisto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Kiisto is priced at 1.167.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 6 |
| 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Nykarleby IK at 9%. The model puts the draw at 13%. The model puts Kiisto at 78%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-3.
The market leans toward Kiisto. Nykarleby IK is priced at 11.2. The draw is priced at 6.45. Kiisto is priced at 1.167.
Nykarleby IK have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Kiisto have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Kiisto are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nykarleby IK or Kiisto?
Our model rates Kiisto as the most likely outcome at 78% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nykarleby IK vs Kiisto?
A scoreline around 0-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.