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Finland. Kolmonen. Division 3

Vaajakoski II vs Jyvaskyla II: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Vaajakoski II Vaajakoski IIvsJyvaskyla II Jyvaskyla II
Our predictionJyvaskyla II to win
Model score: Low · 34/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Jyvaskyla II at 54%. The model leans toward Jyvaskyla II. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Vaajakoski IIDraw2 · Jyvaskyla II
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

O/U 2.5Under 2.56.60+37.4%
BTTSNo4.96+30.7%
1X2Vaajakoski II3.53+0.7%
1X2Draw4.50-0.2%
1X2Jyvaskyla II1.68-0.5%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Vaajakoski II
46
Jyvaskyla II
57

Most likely scorelines

1-111.9%
0-111.7%
1-29.5%
0-29.4%
1-07.4%
0-07.3%

Recent form

Vaajakoski II
Jyvaskyla IILWLLW

Expected goals

1.01Vaajakoski II
xG
1.60Jyvaskyla II
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score51%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Vaajakoski II Jyvaskyla II

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Jyvaskyla II win1.68Fair
Double chanceJyvaskyla II or drawInfo
Total goalsUnder 2.56.60Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0712952
17121052
246531
3122
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Vaajakoski II at 26%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Jyvaskyla II at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward Jyvaskyla II. Vaajakoski II is priced at 3.53. The draw is priced at 4.5. Jyvaskyla II is priced at 1.68.

Jyvaskyla II have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Vaajakoski II or Jyvaskyla II?

Our model rates Jyvaskyla II as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Vaajakoski II vs Jyvaskyla II?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.