Blumenau vs Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Blumenauvs
Clube Atletico Metropolitano BlumenauThe model puts Blumenau at 50%. The model leans toward Blumenau. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Blumenau.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Blumenau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Blumenau have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Blumenau is priced at 1.88.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Blumenau at 50%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau at 21%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Blumenau. Blumenau is priced at 1.88. The draw is priced at 3.05. Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau is priced at 4.145.
Blumenau have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Blumenau have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Blumenau or Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau?
Our model rates Blumenau as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Blumenau vs Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 4 meetings: 2 Blumenau wins, 0 draws, 2 Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau wins.
League table
Brazil. Campeonato Catarinense. Second Division| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hercílio Luz | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30:9 | 32 |
| 2 | Clube Atletico Metropolitano Blumenau | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | 29 |
| 3 |  Caravaggio Nova Veneza | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 40:16 | 27 |
| 4 | Blumenau | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 |  Tubarao | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:13 | 23 |
| 6 |  Fluminense Joinville | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  Guarani de Palhoca | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 8 |  Gremio Esportivo Juventus | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Nacao Araquari | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 10 |  Jaragua SC | 14 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 5:55 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.