Olaria Atletico Clube vs Bangu Atletico Clube: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Olaria Atletico Clubevs
Bangu Atletico ClubeThe model puts Olaria Atletico Clube at 70%. The model leans toward Olaria Atletico Clube. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Olaria Atletico Clube have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bangu Atletico Clube have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Olaria Atletico Clube have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Olaria Atletico Clube is priced at 1.28.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Olaria Atletico Clube at 70%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Bangu Atletico Clube at 9%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Olaria Atletico Clube. Olaria Atletico Clube is priced at 1.28. The draw is priced at 4.45. Bangu Atletico Clube is priced at 10.4.
Olaria Atletico Clube have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Bangu Atletico Clube have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Olaria Atletico Clube have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Bangu Atletico Clube have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 33% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Olaria Atletico Clube or Bangu Atletico Clube?
Our model rates Olaria Atletico Clube as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Olaria Atletico Clube vs Bangu Atletico Clube?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Olaria Atletico Clube wins, 1 draws, 3 Bangu Atletico Clube wins.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.