Araioses Futebol Clube vs Cordino EC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Araioses Futebol Clubevs
Cordino ECThe model puts Araioses Futebol Clube at 52%. The model leans toward Araioses Futebol Clube. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Araioses Futebol Clube.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Araioses Futebol Clube have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cordino EC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Araioses Futebol Clube is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Araioses Futebol Clube at 52%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Cordino EC at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Araioses Futebol Clube. Araioses Futebol Clube is priced at 1.83. The draw is priced at 3.62. Cordino EC is priced at 3.585.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Araioses Futebol Clube have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Cordino EC have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Araioses Futebol Clube or Cordino EC?
Our model rates Araioses Futebol Clube as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Araioses Futebol Clube vs Cordino EC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Araioses Futebol Clube wins, 1 draws, 0 Cordino EC wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.