Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers Bears: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Charlestown Azzurrivs
Weston Workers BearsThe model puts Weston Workers Bears at 62%. The model leans toward Weston Workers Bears. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Weston Workers Bears (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Charlestown Azzurri have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Weston Workers Bears have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Charlestown Azzurri have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Weston Workers Bears is priced at 1.48.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Charlestown Azzurri at 19%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Weston Workers Bears at 62%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Weston Workers Bears. Charlestown Azzurri is priced at 4.91. The draw is priced at 4.5. Weston Workers Bears is priced at 1.48.
Charlestown Azzurri have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Weston Workers Bears have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Charlestown Azzurri have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Weston Workers Bears have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Charlestown Azzurri or Weston Workers Bears?
Our model rates Weston Workers Bears as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Workers Bears?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Charlestown Azzurri wins, 0 draws, 4 Weston Workers Bears wins.
League table
Australia. NPL Northern NSW| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Broadmeadow Magic | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 49:22 | 40 |
| 2 |  Belmont Swansea United | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 40:30 | 32 |
| 3 | Weston Workers Bears | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 34:29 | 30 |
| 4 |  Maitland | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 33:28 | 30 |
| 5 |  Edgeworth Eagles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 34:29 | 29 |
| 6 |  Cooks Hill United | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 26 |
| 7 |  Lambton Jaffas | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 35:29 | 22 |
| 8 |  Valentine Phoenix | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 18:36 | 19 |
| 9 |  Newcastle Olympic Warriors | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 33:32 | 18 |
| 10 |  Adamstown Rosebud | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 25:36 | 17 |
| 11 |  Kahibah | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 26:41 | 14 |
| 12 | Charlestown Azzurri | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 24:44 | 14 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.