Elva vs Viimsi JK: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Elvavs
Viimsi JKThe model puts Viimsi JK at 66%. The model leans toward Viimsi JK. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Viimsi JK.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Elva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Viimsi JK have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Elva have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Viimsi JK is priced at 1.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Elva at 15%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Viimsi JK at 66%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Viimsi JK. Elva is priced at 6.17. The draw is priced at 4.55. Viimsi JK is priced at 1.39.
Elva have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Viimsi JK have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Elva have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Viimsi JK have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Elva or Viimsi JK?
Our model rates Viimsi JK as the most likely outcome at 66% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Elva vs Viimsi JK?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Elva wins, 2 draws, 2 Viimsi JK wins.
League table
Estonia. Esiliiga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu JK Welco Elekter | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 62:24 | 45 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30:16 | 32 |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn U21 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 45:35 | 31 |
| 4 | Elva | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 34:32 | 27 |
| 5 |  Levadia II | 19 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 37:35 | 24 |
| 6 |  Maardu Linnameeskond | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 27:46 | 23 |
| 7 |  Tallinna Kalev | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 37:39 | 22 |
| 8 |  Nomme United U21 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 35:42 | 20 |
| 9 |  Nomme Kalju U21 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 30:44 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tallinn | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 25:49 | 17 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.