Timon EC vs Tupan MA: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Timon ECvs
Tupan MAThe model puts Timon EC at 58%. The model leans toward Timon EC. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Timon EC.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Timon EC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tupan MA have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Timon EC is priced at 1.63.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Timon EC at 58%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Tupan MA at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Timon EC. Timon EC is priced at 1.63. The draw is priced at 3.58. Tupan MA is priced at 4.785.
Tupan MA have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Timon EC have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Tupan MA have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 45% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Timon EC or Tupan MA?
Our model rates Timon EC as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Timon EC vs Tupan MA?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Timon EC wins, 0 draws, 1 Tupan MA wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.