San Luis Maranhao vs Pinheiro AC: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
San Luis Maranhaovs
Pinheiro ACThe model puts San Luis Maranhao at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- San Luis Maranhao have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Pinheiro AC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- San Luis Maranhao is priced at 2.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts San Luis Maranhao at 39%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Pinheiro AC at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. San Luis Maranhao is priced at 2.35. The draw is priced at 3.125. Pinheiro AC is priced at 2.72.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
San Luis Maranhao have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Pinheiro AC have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, San Luis Maranhao or Pinheiro AC?
Our model rates San Luis Maranhao as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for San Luis Maranhao vs Pinheiro AC?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 San Luis Maranhao wins, 1 draws, 0 Pinheiro AC wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.