Levski Sofia vs CS Universitatea Craiova: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Levski Sofiavs
CS Universitatea CraiovaThe model puts Levski Sofia at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- CS Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins in their last 3 matches.
- Levski Sofia is priced at 2.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Levski Sofia at 42%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts CS Universitatea Craiova at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Levski Sofia is priced at 2.26. The draw is priced at 3.15. CS Universitatea Craiova is priced at 3.17.
CS Universitatea Craiova have 3 wins in their last 3 matches. CS Universitatea Craiova are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 45% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Levski Sofia or CS Universitatea Craiova?
Our model rates Levski Sofia as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Levski Sofia vs CS Universitatea Craiova?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.