84.2%
outcome hit-rate
16/19
correct picks (settled)
62.4%–94.5%
95% confidence interval
Early sample. With only 19 settled forecasts, this hit-rate is statistically noisy and will move as more matches are graded. Read the confidence interval, not the headline number.
Each prediction is the single most likely 1X2 outcome from our model, captured at a fixed pre-kickoff horizon. See the methodology and model card for how the probabilities are produced and how results are settled. Model version det-2026-06-17.
Recent settled forecasts
| Kickoff | Match | Competition | Our pick | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun | Shanghai Zetian v Chengdu Rongcheng | China. FA Cup | Chengdu Rongcheng | Chengdu Rongcheng | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Shijiazhuang Gongfu v Shanghai Shenhua | China. FA Cup | Shanghai Shenhua | Shanghai Shenhua | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Guangxi Hengchen v Shandong Taishan | China. FA Cup | Shandong Taishan | Shandong Taishan | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Wuxi Wugou v Qingdao Hainiu | China. FA Cup | Qingdao Hainiu | Qingdao Hainiu | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Ningbo v Chongqing Tongliangloong | China. FA Cup | Chongqing Tongliangloong | Chongqing Tongliangloong | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Qingdao Red Lions v Wuhan Three Towns | China. FA Cup | Wuhan Three Towns | Wuhan Three Towns | ✓ |
| 20 Jun | Turkey v Paraguay | World Cup 2026 | Turkey | Paraguay | ✗ |
| 20 Jun | Brazil v Haiti | World Cup 2026 | Brazil | Brazil | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Scotland v Morocco | World Cup 2026 | Morocco | Morocco | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | USA v Australia | World Cup 2026 | USA | USA | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Guangdong GZ-Power v Beijing Guoan | China. FA Cup | Beijing Guoan | Beijing Guoan | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue v Dalian Yingbo | China. FA Cup | Dalian Yingbo | Dalian Yingbo | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Jiangxi Lushan v Henan | China. FA Cup | Henan | Henan | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic v Tianjin Tiger | China. FA Cup | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Shenzhen Juniors v Shenzhen Peng City | China. FA Cup | Shenzhen Peng City | Shenzhen Peng City | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Shaanxi Union v Zhejiang Professional | China. FA Cup | Zhejiang Professional | Shaanxi Union | ✗ |
| 19 Jun | Dalian Kewei v Liaoning Tieren | China. FA Cup | Liaoning Tieren | Dalian Kewei | ✗ |
| 19 Jun | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai v Qingdao West Coast | China. FA Cup | Qingdao West Coast | Qingdao West Coast | ✓ |
| 19 Jun | Shanghai Segenda v Shanghai Port | China. FA Cup | Shanghai Port | Shanghai Port | ✓ |