55.5%
outcome hit-rate
812/1463
correct picks (settled)
52.9%–58.0%
95% confidence interval
Each prediction is the single most likely 1X2 outcome from our model, captured at a fixed pre-kickoff horizon. See the methodology and model card for how the probabilities are produced and how results are settled. Model version det-2026-06-17.
Recent settled forecasts
| Kickoff | Match | Competition | Our pick | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | Lugano v Zalgiris Kaunas | UEFA Conference League | Lugano | Lugano | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Copenhagen v Iberia 1999 | UEFA Conference League | Copenhagen | Copenhagen | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Sint-Truidense v Brann | UEFA Conference League | Sint-Truidense | Draw | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Riga FC v Jablonec | UEFA Conference League | Riga FC | Draw | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | CS Universitatea Craiova v Egnatia | UEFA Conference League | CS Universitatea Craiova | CS Universitatea Craiova | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Twente v Pafos | UEFA Conference League | Twente | Twente | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Panathinaikos v CSKA Sofia | UEFA Conference League | Panathinaikos | Panathinaikos | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | AS Monaco v Nordsjaelland | UEFA Conference League | AS Monaco | AS Monaco | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Getafe v Brighton & Hove Albion | UEFA Conference League | Brighton & Hove Albion | Brighton & Hove Albion | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Sturm Graz v Celje | UEFA Europa League | Sturm Graz | Celje | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | AZ Alkmaar v Juventus | UEFA Europa League | Juventus | Juventus | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb | UEFA Europa League | Sunderland | Dinamo Zagreb | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | S.C.U. Torreense v Ararat - Armenia | UEFA Europa League | S.C.U. Torreense | S.C.U. Torreense | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Benfica v Lech Poznan | UEFA Europa League | Benfica | Benfica | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Celta v Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | UEFA Europa League | Celta | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Olympique de Marseille | UEFA Europa League | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Olympique de Marseille | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Celtic v Besiktas | UEFA Europa League | Besiktas | Celtic | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Crvena Zvezda v Inter Club d'Escaldes | UEFA Conference League | Crvena Zvezda | Crvena Zvezda | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Thun v Heart of Midlothian | UEFA Conference League | Thun | Thun | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Trabzonspor v Freiburg | UEFA Conference League | Trabzonspor | Freiburg | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | AGF Aarhus v Braga | UEFA Conference League | Braga | Draw | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Midtjylland v Ajax | UEFA Conference League | Ajax | Ajax | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Lincoln Red Imps v Hajduk Split | UEFA Conference League | Hajduk Split | Lincoln Red Imps | ✗ |
| 05 Nov | Mjallby v Borac Banja Luka | UEFA Conference League | Mjallby | Mjallby | ✓ |
| 05 Nov | Kuopion Palloseura v Gent | UEFA Conference League | Gent | Draw | ✗ |