Italy vs Belgium: Team Comparison
ItalyvsBelgium 
Italy and Belgium are closely matched across the key metrics — the model splits them at 37% vs 37%, with the draw a live 26%. This is a fixture without an obvious favourite.
The detail backs this up: Belgium have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Italy | Metric | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 64 |
| 37% | Win probability | 37% |
| L W L W D | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.30 | Expected goals | 1.30 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Italy or Belgium?
It's very even: 37% vs 37%, draw 26%.