Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: Team Comparison
BulgariavsLuxembourg 
Comparing Bulgaria and Luxembourg across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bulgaria — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bulgaria project for more goals (1.62 xG), Luxembourg have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bulgaria | Metric | Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 48% | Win probability | 24% |
| W W L W L | Recent form | D W W W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals | 0.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bulgaria or Luxembourg?
The model favours Bulgaria at 48%, with the draw at 28%.