Iceland vs Estonia: Team Comparison
IcelandvsEstonia 
Comparing Iceland and Estonia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Iceland — a 66% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Estonia carry the stronger recent form, Iceland project for more goals (1.98 xG), Iceland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Iceland | Metric | Estonia |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 66% | Win probability | 13% |
| L L D D L | Recent form | W W L W W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.98 | Expected goals | 0.62 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Iceland or Estonia?
The model favours Iceland at 66%, with the draw at 21%.