San Marino vs Finland: Team Comparison
San MarinovsFinland 
Comparing San Marino and Finland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Finland — a 89% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 8%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Finland carry the stronger recent form, Finland project for more goals (2.42 xG), Finland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Marino | Metric | Finland |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Strength rating | 86 |
| 3% | Win probability | 89% |
| L L D L L | Recent form | L L W W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 0.20 | Expected goals | 2.42 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Marino or Finland?
The model favours Finland at 89%, with the draw at 8%.