England vs Costa Rica: Team Comparison
EnglandvsCosta Rica 
Comparing England and Costa Rica across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 85% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 4%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: England carry the stronger recent form, England project for more goals (2.38 xG), England have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| England | Metric | Costa Rica |
|---|---|---|
| 81 | Strength rating | 20 |
| 85% | Win probability | 11% |
| L D W W W | Recent form | L L D D L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.38 | Expected goals | 0.32 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, England or Costa Rica?
The model favours England at 85%, with the draw at 4%.