Greece vs Italy: Team Comparison
GreecevsItaly 
Comparing Greece and Italy across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Greece — a 46% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Greece project for more goals (1.59 xG), Italy have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Greece | Metric | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 46% | Win probability | 29% |
| D W D L L | Recent form | L L W W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.59 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Greece or Italy?
The model favours Greece at 46%, with the draw at 25%.