Deportivo Toluca vs Tigres de la UANL: Team Comparison
Deportivo TolucavsTigres de la UANL 
Comparing Deportivo Toluca and Tigres de la UANL across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Toluca — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Toluca project for more goals (1.67 xG), Deportivo Toluca have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Toluca | Metric | Tigres de la UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 34 |
| 49% | Win probability | 26% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | L L L W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.67 | Expected goals | 0.95 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Toluca or Tigres de la UANL?
The model favours Deportivo Toluca at 49%, with the draw at 25%.