Spain vs Iraq: Team Comparison
SpainvsIraq 
Comparing Spain and Iraq across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Spain — a 93% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 2%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Spain carry the stronger recent form, Spain project for more goals (2.58 xG), Spain have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Spain | Metric | Iraq |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Strength rating | 40 |
| 93% | Win probability | 4% |
| D W D W W | Recent form | W W L L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 2.58 | Expected goals | 0.20 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Spain or Iraq?
The model favours Spain at 93%, with the draw at 2%.