HJK vs Mariehamn: Team Comparison
HJKvsMariehamn 
Comparing HJK and Mariehamn across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward HJK — a 80% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 7%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: HJK project for more goals (2.28 xG), HJK have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| HJK | Metric | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|
| 89 | Strength rating | 26 |
| 80% | Win probability | 13% |
| W L D W L | Recent form | L L D W D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 2.28 | Expected goals | 0.40 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, HJK or Mariehamn?
The model favours HJK at 80%, with the draw at 7%.