S.E.R. Caxias do Sul vs Ituano: Team Comparison
S.E.R. Caxias do SulvsItuano 
Comparing S.E.R. Caxias do Sul and Ituano across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward S.E.R. Caxias do Sul — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: S.E.R. Caxias do Sul project for more goals (1.62 xG), S.E.R. Caxias do Sul have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| S.E.R. Caxias do Sul | Metric | Ituano |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 58 |
| 49% | Win probability | 31% |
| D W D D D | Recent form | W W W L D |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals | 1.01 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, S.E.R. Caxias do Sul or Ituano?
The model favours S.E.R. Caxias do Sul at 49%, with the draw at 20%.